Premier League Survival Sunday: Predicting All 10 Results and What They'll Mean

Michael Cummings@MikeCummings37X.com LogoWorld Football Lead WriterMay 9, 2012

Premier League Survival Sunday: Predicting All 10 Results and What They'll Mean

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    This is it. Everything will be decided on Sunday.

    Well, almost everything.

    Either Manchester City or Manchester United will win the English Premier League title.

    Two of Arsenal, Tottenham Hotspur and Newcastle United will finish third and fourth. Whoever finishes third will play in the Champions League next season, but the fourth-place finisher must wait on Chelsea's result in this month's Champions League final versus Bayern Munich.

    At the other end of the table, either Bolton Wanderers or Queens Park Rangers will fill the league's final relegation slot. Blackburn Rovers and Wolverhampton Wanderers have already been relegated.

    Fortunately for us, all 20 Premiership teams will be in action simultaneously. Ten matches are set to start at 10 a.m. Eastern on Sunday.

    Here's what will happen in all 10—and what it will mean.

Chelsea vs. Blackburn Rovers

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    Stakes: Nonexistent.

    Chelsea have no chance to qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League through their final league position.

    The Blues will finish sixth, and Blackburn will be relegated, regardless of the outcome of this match, which promises to be dour.

    Mike's pick: Chelsea 1, Blackburn 0

    What it means: Nothing, except that Chelsea clearly think they can win the Champions League final.

    Otherwise, they would have put forth more effort against Liverpool on Tuesday. Instead, they appeared disinterested in a 4-1 loss.

    Chelsea won't care about this match either, and they'll probably rest several first-team regulars.

    But Blackburn will be so poor that it won't matter.

Everton vs. Newcastle United

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    Stakes: High.

    Newcastle need a win to have any chance at Champions League qualification. Arsenal are third, two points ahead of Newcastle, while Tottenham are fourth, one point behind Arsenal.

    A Newcastle victory, combined with a loss for Arsenal and a draw or loss for Tottenham, would give the Magpies third place in the final table.

    As for fourth place, a win is necessary there as well. Tottenham, who are currently fourth, have vastly superior goal differential to Newcastle. That means a draw is as good as a loss.

    Everton don't have much to play for besides the thrill of being a spoiler—and Merseyside bragging rights.

    With a win, the Toffees would be guaranteed of a higher finishing spot than Liverpool. A draw might do the trick, too. The Toffees have played pretty well lately, so…

    Mike's pick: Everton 2, Newcastle 1

    What it means: Europa League for Newcastle. Bragging rights for Everton.

Manchester City vs. Queens Park Rangers

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    Stakes: Astronomical.

    If they win, Manchester City will be champions for the first time since 1968. If they lose or draw, Manchester United could claim yet another league title.

    Technically, United still have a chance to overtake City on goal differential. The teams are tied atop the table with 86 points, but City have an eight-goal advantage in goal differential.

    But United would need an amazing performance at Sunderland to overturn City's lead.

    Meanwhile, QPR sit two points above the relegation zone. Bolton will play Sunderland at the same time, and a Bolton win combined with a QPR loss would relegate QPR.

    A draw would almost certainly keep QPR in the Premier League for another season, thanks to their superior goal differential.

    Mike's pick: City 2, QPR 0

    What it means: City have been strong at home this season, winning 17 games and drawing once.

    You think QPR will buck the trend? No way.

    In their last eight games, QPR have won four (all at home) and lost four (all away). Those results have followed a strict win-at-home, lose-away progression, and QPR's last match ended in a home win.

    Know what that means?

    All hail the new champs.

Norwich City vs. Aston Villa

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    Stakes: Very low.

    Aston Villa are all but safe from relegation. The Villains lead Bolton by just three points but have a 17-goal advantage in goal differential.

    That means even a big loss would likely be meaningless.

    Norwich secured Premiership safety long ago, and they can finish no higher than 10th.

    Mike's pick: Norwich City 2, Aston Villa 2

    What it means: These teams love draws. They've combined for 28 so far this season.

    How about another?

Stoke City vs. Bolton Wanderers

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    Stakes: High.

    Bolton need a win to have any chance of staying in the Premier League.

    But even if they get that victory, they realistically need a QPR loss at Manchester City (see the Man City-QPR slide) to stay in the top flight.

    Stoke have nothing to play for, and the quality of their football has reflected that fact lately.

    Mike's pick: Stoke 0, Bolton 1

    What it means: Call me a sappy, sentimental romantic, but I think Fabrice Muamba will inspire Bolton to a famous escape.

Sunderland vs. Manchester United

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    Stakes: Very high.

    United need a victory to avoid a historic late-season collapse and the ignominy of losing the title to Manchester City.

    Sunderland have nothing to play for besides the possibility of a top-half finish.

    Mike's pick: Sunderland 1, Manchester United 2

    What it means: United will do what they have to do, but they won't inspire while doing it.

    And they won't win the title either.

Swansea City vs. Liverpool

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    Stakes: Moderately low.

    Swansea could still finish in the top half, but they need a win over Liverpool and a West Brom loss to Arsenal.

    Liverpool can still catch crosstown rivals Everton, but the Reds need a win and an Everton draw or loss.

    Mike's pick: Swansea 1, Liverpool 1

    What it means: Liverpool looked great against Chelsea on Tuesday, but they'll revert to form against Swansea.

Tottenham Hotspur vs. Fulham

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    Stakes: High.

    With a victory, Spurs could finish third and ensure a spot in next season's Champions League. But for that to happen, they also need Arsenal to draw or lose.

    Fourth place would put Tottenham in the Champions League qualifiers, provided Chelsea lose this season's final against Bayern Munich.

    Fulham can finish as high as seventh—ahead of Everton and Liverpool—with a victory. But they've been awful away from home this season.

    Mike's pick: Spurs 3, Fulham 1

    What it means: Spurs keep the pressure on Arsenal for third and clinch fourth.

West Bromwich Albion vs. Arsenal

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    Stakes: High.

    Arsenal would finish third with a win. A draw or loss would still be enough if Spurs lose or draw as well (Arsenal hold a one-goal lead in goal differential).

    But the Gunners won't want to depend on Spurs to drop points again; last week's escape job was unlikely enough.

    Arsenal tore West Brom to shreds in November, but the Gunners still haven't won a league game without Mikel Arteta in the lineup this season.

    West Brom are 10th, and a draw or win would ensure a top-half finish. The Baggies are also playing for the final time under manager Roy Hodgson, who will take the England job full-time following the season.

    Mike's pick: West Brom 2, Arsenal 3

    What it means: It will be tense. Very tense. But Arsenal will squeak through as West Brom say goodbye to Hodgson.

    At least, I hope they will.

Wigan Athletic vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers

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    Stakes: None.

    Wigan secured their Premiership status with a win at Blackburn earlier this week.

    Wolves were relegated a long time ago.

    Mike's pick: Wigan 2, Wolves 0

    What it means: Nothing.

Conclusions

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    Several races will be decided on the final day.

    First, I see the title going to Manchester City, thanks to their win over QPR and a superior goal differential over Manchester United.

    Next, I'm predicting that Arsenal and Tottenham will both win. That would mean they finish third and fourth, respectively.

    Newcastle, therefore, would secure a spot in next season's Europa League.

    Further down the table, I predict Everton will finish higher than Liverpool. And in the relegation zone, I'm calling for a last-day escape for Bolton—at the expense of QPR.

    What do you think? Leave your predictions in the comments.

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